November 1, 2004
Election eve prediction...
Submitted for your approval, or more likely your ridicule, I present my predictions for the National Election, and some general predictions for the next four years and the future.
1. Bush will win the popular vote with 54.5%; Nader and the others will pull slightly more than 1 percent with the remainder falling on Kerry.
2. Bush will carry 40 states in the Electoral College.
3. Kerry will concede on election night.
4. Republicans will control the house by 20%. Republicans will have a 9 vote lead in the Senate.
5. Court battles will be "token" in nature; most will be quietly backed away from with a few minor skirmishes here and there.
6. There will however be an investigation into keeping Nader off the ballot and indictments will be handed down. I suggest that the conspiracy will number between 20 and 30 people.
7. John Edwards will slowly fade into obscurity, make a brief run and the presidential nomination for 2008 and quietly back out to make way for Hilary Clinton.
8. Spontaneous displays of support for George Bush will erupt in Iraq. Democrat operatives in urban areas will instigate small scale rioting.
9. Teresa will make some gaff or some gesture that will be picked up by the media and fully seal John Kerry's fate. John Kerry will not run for re-election to the Senate.
10. Dan Rather will announce his retirement by January.
11. The stock market will hit 11K in the third week of December, there will be a brief dip at Christmas, then after the turn of the year, it will climb past 11K again.
12. Each major automaker will have a hybrid SUV within the next 4 years. Mercedes and Porsche will also introduce high dollar SUV's that will be well received.
13. The US will force to the UN to send peacekeepers to Africa, France will oppose the makeup of the forces.
14. There will be a revolution in Nigeria. France will be exposed as guilty in a corruption scandal in the country and the scandal will bring Chirac's resignation.
15. Asian banks will short the Euro; eventually the Zeropeans will require a World Bank loan guaranteed by the United States to stabilize their currency. EU nations will try, but fail to organize a rescue of the Zeropean currency.
16. Civil Unions will be suggested and passed into US law in 2006. The move will come after a majority of states outlaw gay marriage and the Supreme Court of the US will uphold the states elections on the issue. There will be little to no resistance to Civil Unions.
17. The US will implement a guest worker program for immigrant workers. The Guest Worker will have 4 weeks to secure and report employment, be fingerprinted, and photographed. Dna Samples may also be collected. Guest Workers will be required to renew their Guest Worker card every 6 months.
18. The United States will begin to decommission 4 Oil Refineries in the US. Two new refineries will be approved to replace them. Plans will be made to modernize all US Oil Refineries by 2018.
19. Fuel Cells for homes will become available through the local utility, but will not be available for private automobiles.
20. Tort Reform will pass with standards set for bodily injury; penalty judgments will be limited to 25 years of lost earnings.
21. The us will adopt a national sales tax or "fair" tax. This tax will replace personal and corporate income taxes.
22. A new Pope will be selected in 2005 and will announce plans for a Vatican 3.
23. England will hold early general elections in February and Blair's party will win in a landslide.
24. Germany will emerge at the leading power of the EU.
25. The governments of Iran and Syria will fall, as well as N. Korea and Saudi Arabia. (The House of Saud will take up residence in France.)
26. Bush will initiate Health Insurance reform, requiring insurance companies to issue a schedule of rates for coverage in states they operate in. Individuals will be able to purchase policies at these rates as well as Small Businesses. These rates will be tied to corporate rates with published percentage differences.
27. Giuliani/Rice will be the popular Republican pick for the 2008 nod.
28. In his final two years of office, George Bush will set in motion great reforms for NASA.
A location for the first "Earthport" will be selected. The site will straddle Libya and Egypt who will receive major technological and manufacturing investment in return for the territory.
NASA's budget will be increased by a factor of 5, paving the way for a Moon colony (mandate by 2015) and the first manned trip to Mars (mandate by 2018).
Of course, this whole set of predictions could be wiped out by tomorrow night, but who knows, it'll be fun to look back at them later and see what happens and what doesn't.
Posted by JasonColeman at November 1, 2004 10:07 PM